Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.567039 3.790999 4.031044 4.309126 4.624560 4.973899 5.393828
2025-03-16 3.130099 3.409895 3.724304 4.108549 4.572386 5.123881 5.845021
2025-03-23 2.891999 3.217223 3.597949 4.086319 4.711843 5.510973 6.656370
2025-03-30 2.678468 3.029921 3.455267 4.023639 4.790810 5.839137 7.488009
2025-04-06 2.482282 2.845222 3.296307 3.919756 4.800020 6.078457 8.280220
2025-04-13 2.296143 2.657894 3.116631 3.767460 4.720140 6.176278 8.897347
2025-04-20 2.206610 2.586318 3.080405 3.805926 4.921411 6.755726 10.647866
2025-04-27 2.132473 2.528601 3.056729 3.858542 5.153934 7.457655 13.149695
2025-05-04 2.083619 2.500355 3.070210 3.966893 5.498096 8.488978 17.612977
2025-05-11 2.017947 2.444115 3.038584 4.001405 5.723949 9.385649 23.398367
2025-05-18 1.943456 2.370589 2.975595 3.977970 5.840436 10.100026 30.748210
2025-05-25 1.850014 2.265076 2.857803 3.851961 5.738259 10.239132 35.875784
2025-06-01 1.775586 2.188564 2.787044 3.813594 5.839144 11.091871 55.617562
2025-06-08 1.687594 2.088231 2.673842 3.691778 5.748813 11.376474 79.028651
2025-06-15 1.637348 2.040326 2.638613 3.704368 5.957396 12.823238 345.027674
2025-06-22 1.582295 1.982424 2.583722 3.675794 6.071110 14.102289 NaN
2025-06-29 1.523189 1.915617 2.510392 3.605654 6.073622 14.991301 NaN
2025-07-06 1.459134 1.838642 2.416376 3.487951 5.937277 15.162844 NaN
2025-07-13 1.431040 1.814627 2.406972 3.531946 6.229911 18.046627 NaN
2025-07-20 1.406619 1.794858 2.403034 3.586332 6.572837 22.286469 NaN
2025-07-27 1.391584 1.788638 2.421156 3.687963 7.096567 30.756924 NaN
2025-08-03 1.366519 1.765431 2.408516 3.723742 7.438111 40.932138 NaN
2025-08-10 1.335060 1.730706 2.373656 3.707544 7.605468 51.679103 NaN